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Home » Predictions » France Ligue 1 » Rennes x Monaco Betting tips for October 5 in France Ligue 1
Saturday, 05 October 2024, 16h00 France Ligue 1
Rennes Rennes
PREDICTION Rennes wins Probability 41% 1 X 2
Monaco Monaco
ODD: @2.64 Don't miss this prediction!

Rennes x Monaco Betting tips for October 5 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Rennes x Monaco, Saturday, 5/10/2024
📅 5/10/2024
16:00
Rennes Rennes
2.64
X
3.63
Monaco Monaco
2.45

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Rennes x Monaco:

🔮 Rennes wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Rennes, you can win up to $1320.00!

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The main points for the tip for Rennes x Monaco:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Rennes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $313.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Monaco in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $680.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Rennes scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Monaco scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Monaco, Rennes scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Monaco has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Rennes x Monaco for the France Ligue 1 – 5 of October

🏟️ Rennes X Monaco – France Ligue 1
📅 5 of October, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 Rennes – Winning probability: 41.51% | Fair line: 2.41
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.72% | Fair line: 3.89
🔴 Monaco – Winning probability: 32.76% | Fair line: 3.05
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Rennes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Rennes x Monaco is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1194677 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Rennes x Monaco

Should you bet on Rennes?

🔵 Rennes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.64. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – profiting $688.80;
  • And would lose other 580 times – having a loss of -$580.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$108.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.63. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $683.80;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$56.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on Monaco?

🔴 Monaco: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $478.50;
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$191.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Rennes x Monaco

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Rennes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Rennes x Monaco

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Rennes and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Rennes.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Monaco.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Rennes x Monaco

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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