Rennes x PSG Betting tips for February 13 in France Ligue 1
| 📅 13/2/2026 18:00 |
Rennes5.50 |
X 4.70 |
PSG ![]() 1.48 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Rennes x PSG:
🔮 Rennes wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Rennes, you can win up to $2750.00!
The main points for the tip for Rennes x PSG:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Rennes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $33.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on PSG in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $22.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, PSG scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against PSG, Rennes scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 PSG is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 4 away matches, it had at least 68.00% of possession.
🤖 What’s ChatGPT’s opinion on our prediction for Rennes vs PSG?
Lets analyze the match between Rennes and PSG at Roazhon Park, Rennes traditional stadium, which will surely see the home team trying to recover after a tough phase. 🏟️
📈 Rennes is going through a tough time in Ligue 1, holding 6th place with four consecutive losses. This heavily impacts their chances of winning, even playing at home. On the other hand, PSG leads the league with a recent dominant performance, including a 5-0 thrashing of Olympique Marseille. PSGs morale is high, and they have in-form players like Ousmane Dembélé and Bradley Barcola.
Statistics show Rennes scores an average of 2 goals at home per game and concedes about 1 goal; PSG away has a similar scoring average (2) but concedes fewer goals (1). Possession-wise, PSG dominates with about 69% compared to Rennes 61% at home. Additionally, PSGs offensive averages are slightly higher or equal to Renness.
Normalized median odds suggest fair probabilities: Rennes win ~15%, draw ~21%, PSG win ~64%. This clearly reflects the visitors superiority.
Considering all this, along with Rennes recent poor form and PSGs firm leadership in the league, my fair prediction for the odds would be approximately:
- Rennes win: fair odds around 6.5
- Draw: fair odds around 4.8
- PSG win: fair odds around 1.55
Comparing with the final odds, betting on Rennes to win does not offer positive expected value due to the low realistic probability of their victory against the clear favoritism of PSG.
The safest bet is PSG to win — despite low odds (~1.42), they reflect PSGs current dominance and favorable form.
News analysis 📰:
Stade Rennais faces recent internal issues such as a serious injury to young Jacquet and an imminent coaching change after poor results; this negatively affects their emotional stability for this game.
Meanwhile, PSG is riding high after their thrashing of Marseille, with Dembélé gaining momentum — plus renewed confidence from coach Luis Enrique aiming for important titles this season.
Final suggestion:
I fully agree with the Bets Kenya model in indicating positive value on the away win (PSG). My analysis reinforces this choice as all data point to their strong technical/tactical/psychological superiority over the weakened opponent.
Expected value for this bet exceeds +70%, indicating an excellent opportunity! 🚀⚽️
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Rennes x PSG?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Rennes x PSG, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2026. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Rennes x PSG for the France Ligue 1 – 13 of February
🏟️ Rennes X PSG – France Ligue 1
📅 13 of February, 2026 – 18:00
🔵 Rennes – Winning probability: 25.91% | Fair line: 3.86
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.62% | Fair line: 7.34
🔴 PSG – Winning probability: 60.48% | Fair line: 1.65
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Rennes
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks
Latest news about Rennes x PSG
Stade Rennais: Stade Rennais has been going through a tough spell in Ligue 1, dropping to sixth place and recording their fourth consecutive defeat after a 3-1 loss to RC Lens on February 7, 2026. In that match, promising young defender Jérémy Jacquet, aged 20, suffered a serious shoulder injury that forced him off the pitch and now requires a lengthy recovery before his £60 million transfer to Liverpool in the summer; the club also faced a controversial incident in the Coupe de France quarter-finals on February 4, when Arsenal loan Ethan Nwaneri, aged 18, received a yellow card for a reckless challenge on teammate Glen Kamara, prompting Rennes coach Habib Beye to argue that the player should have been sent off, as the team continues to seek a turnaround under Beye’s guidance.
Paris Saint-Germain: Paris Saint-Germain leads Ligue 1 after a commanding 5-0 victory over Olympique Marseille on February 8, 2026. Ousmane Dembélé scored twice in the first half, and an own goal by Facundo Medina sealed the win, giving PSG a two-point lead over Lens; coach Luis Enrique praised the performance as a statement that “we are back” and expressed the teams hunger for titles, while Dembélé added that he is finding rhythm and confidence. Despite media speculation about his future, the coach is negotiating a new contract to stay beyond 2027, with the club also relying on Bradley Barcola, who is leading PSG’s scoring charts this season, as they prepare for the upcoming Champions League round of 16 matches later this month.
Table analysis for the match between Rennes x PSG
Rennes: Rennes is in 6th place with 31 points, aiming to stay in the qualification zone for the Conference League. They are two points behind Lille, which is in 5th place and offers a spot in the UEFA Europa League, a higher-level competition. Therefore, the match against PSG is important for Rennes, as a victory could bring them closer to the top positions and increase their chances of advancing in the table. Additionally, beating a top team like PSG can boost motivation for the final stretch of Ligue 1. ⚽🔥
PSG: PSG leads the competition with 51 points, two ahead of Lens, in second place. Despite their comfortable lead, the difference is small enough that the rest of the championship remains decisive for securing the title or even increasing the advantage. The game against Rennes is very important to maintain first place, avoid setbacks, and stay strong in the fight for the Ligue 1 title. A positive result also reinforces the teams confidence in the final stretch. 🏆⚡
Summary: This matchup is important for both teams: for Rennes, in pursuit of a better spot in European competitions, and for PSG, to maintain leadership and the top of the table towards the championship title. A duel that promises to be competitive and with a direct impact on the final classification! 🔥
Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Rennes x PSG
One step many punters overlook is analysing the movement of odds and the handicap over time. Doing this gives a clearer idea of market expectations for the match between Rennes x PSG.
Check the summary below that compares opening odds with current odds across the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.
📊 The odds for Rennes had a huge Raised of 20.00%: the market opened with odds of @6.25 for Rennes and now the odds are @7.5.
📊 The odds for Draw had a great Raised of 11.11%: the market opened with odds of @4.5 for Draw and now the odds are @5.0.
📊 The odds for PSG had a slight Decreased of -6.00%: the market opened with odds of @1.45 for PSG and now the odds are @1.363.
📊 The market increased away team´s favoritism: the handicap that opened at 1.25 is now at 1.5 for PSG.
📊 The market expects more goals than when it opened: the goals handicap opened at 3.25 and now is at 3.50 goals.
Tips for the Match Odds market for Rennes x PSG
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Rennes and PSG.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1479066 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Is betting on Rennes worth it?
🔵 Rennes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $1170.00;
- And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$430.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $518.00;
- And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$342.00.
Is it worth betting on PSG?
🔴 PSG: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 60.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.48. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 600 times – having a profit of $288.00;
- And would have lost other 400 times – with a loss of -$400.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$112.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Rennes x PSG
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Rennes
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Rennes x PSG
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Rennes, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Rennes.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Rennes.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Rennes x PSG
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Rennes x PSG
Who is the favourite: Rennes or PSG?
According to our analysis, the favourite for this match is PSG, with a win probability of 60.48%. However, keep in mind that in football anything can happen!
Who will win: Rennes or PSG?
There are no absolutes in sports betting. Still, our model suggests PSG has the better chance to win, with a probability of 60.48%. If you choose to back PSG, do so responsibly!
What are the chances of Rennes beating PSG today?
From our analysis, in 100 encounters we forecast that Rennes would take victory in roughly 26 of them versus PSG.
What are the chances of PSG beating Rennes today?
Based on our calculations, in every 100 matches we estimate PSG would win about 60 of those versus Rennes.
Which team should I bet on: Rennes or PSG?
A good bettor always searches for positive expected value bets. Our analysis suggests: Rennes wins as the best pick, with EV of 94.30%. Bet responsibly and practice sound bankroll management: keep stakes under 2% of your capital!
How much is Rennes paying today? See what you can win by betting on Rennes x PSG:
The odds for Rennes to beat PSG today are around 5.50. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh5500.00 if Rennes wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!
How much is PSG paying today? See what you can win by betting on Rennes x PSG:
The odds for PSG to beat Rennes today are around 1.48. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh1480.00 if PSG wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!

Rennes