Rennes x St Etienne Betting tips for November 30 in France Ligue 1
📅 30/11/2024 16:00 |
Rennes 1.44 |
X 4.47 |
St Etienne 6.31 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Rennes x St Etienne:
🔮 Rennes wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Rennes, you can win up to $720.00!
Some important points for the tip for Rennes x St Etienne: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Rennes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-207.0. |
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Analysis from Rennes x St Etienne for the France Ligue 1 – 30 of November
🏟️ Rennes X St Etienne – France Ligue 1 |
When the best bet on Rennes x St Etienne is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Rennes x St Etienne
Should you bet on Rennes?
🔵 Rennes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 84.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.44. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 850 times – profiting $374.00;
- And would have lost other 150 times – with a loss of -$150.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$224.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.47. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 110 times – profiting $381.70;
- And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$508.30.
Is it worth betting on St Etienne?
🔴 St Etienne: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.31. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 40 times – profiting $212.40;
- And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$747.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Rennes x St Etienne
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Rennes
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Rennes x St Etienne
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Rennes, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Rennes.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Rennes x St Etienne
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.