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Home ยป Predictions ยป St Etienne x Lens Betting tips for October 19 in France Ligue 1
Saturday, 19 October 2024, 17h00 France Ligue 1
St Etienne St Etienne
PREDICTION Lens Wins Probability 78% 1 X 2
Lens Lens
ODD: @1.61 Don't miss this prediction!

St Etienne x Lens Betting tips for October 19 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for St Etienne x Lens, Saturday, 19/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 19/10/2024
17:00
St Etienne St Etienne
5.07
X
3.95
Lens Lens
1.61

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for St Etienne x Lens:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Lens wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lens, you can win up to $805.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for St Etienne x Lens:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on St Etienne in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $763.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Lens in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-345.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Lens scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Lens, St Etienne scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between St Etienne x Lens, with St Etienne as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Lens conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, St Etienne conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Lens.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Lens has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on St Etienne x Lens?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on St Etienne x Lens:

Analysis from St Etienne x Lens for the France Ligue 1 – 19 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ St Etienne X Lens – France Ligue 1
๐Ÿ“… 19 of October, 2024 – 17:00
๐Ÿ”ต St Etienne – Winning probability: 5.65% | Fair line: 17.71
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.48% | Fair line: 6.46
๐Ÿ”ด Lens – Winning probability: 78.87% | Fair line: 1.27
โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.0 St Etienne
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on St Etienne x Lens is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1203336 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for St Etienne x Lens

Is betting on St Etienne worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต St Etienne: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.07. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $244.20
  • And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$695.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $442.50;
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$407.50.

Is betting on Lens worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Lens: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 78.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.61. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 790 times – this would give you a profit of $481.90
  • And would have lost other 210 times – with a loss of -$210.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$271.90.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match St Etienne x Lens

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.0 St Etienne
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for St Etienne x Lens

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 St Etienne and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 St Etienne.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for St Etienne x Lens

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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