St Etienne x Lens Betting tips for October 19 in France Ligue 1
๐
19/10/2024 17:00 |
St Etienne 5.07 |
X 3.95 |
Lens 1.61 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for St Etienne x Lens:
๐ฎ Lens wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lens, you can win up to $805.00!
Important information for your tip for St Etienne x Lens: ๐ If you had bet $100 on St Etienne in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $763.0. |
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Analysis from St Etienne x Lens for the France Ligue 1 – 19 of October
๐๏ธ St Etienne X Lens – France Ligue 1 |
When the best bet on St Etienne x Lens is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1203336 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for St Etienne x Lens
Is betting on St Etienne worth it?
๐ต St Etienne: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.07. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $244.20
- And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$695.80.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $442.50;
- And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$407.50.
Is betting on Lens worth it?
๐ด Lens: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 78.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.61. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 790 times – this would give you a profit of $481.90
- And would have lost other 210 times – with a loss of -$210.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$271.90.
Handicaps analysis for the match St Etienne x Lens
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 St Etienne
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for St Etienne x Lens
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 St Etienne and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 St Etienne.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for St Etienne x Lens
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.