St Etienne x PSG Betting tips for March 29 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for St Etienne x PSG, Saturday, 29/3/2025

📅 29/3/2025 18:00

St Etienne 12.00

X 7.89

PSG 1.18

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for St Etienne x PSG:

🔮 PSG wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSG, you can win up to $590.00!

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The main points for the tip for St Etienne x PSG: 👉 If you had bet $100 on St Etienne in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-110.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on PSG in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $361.0. 👉 In the last 9 matches as the away team, PSG scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, St Etienne conceded at least 1.0 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, St Etienne conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against PSG. 👉 PSG is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 9 wins in a row in its last road matches.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on St Etienne x PSG?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from St Etienne x PSG for the France Ligue 1 – 29 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for St Etienne x PSG right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1290777 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for St Etienne x PSG

Is it worth betting on St Etienne?

🔵 St Etienne: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 12.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $440.00;
• And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$520.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.89. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $68.90;
• And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$921.10.

Is it a good idea to bet on PSG?

🔴 PSG: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 94.81%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.18. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 950 times – profiting $171.00;
• And would have lost other 50 times – with a loss of -$50.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$121.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match St Etienne x PSG

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.25 St Etienne
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for St Etienne x PSG

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +2.25 St Etienne and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +2.0 St Etienne.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -2.0 PSG.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for St Etienne x PSG

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.75 goals.