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Home » Predictions » France Ligue 1 » Strasbourg x Auxerre Betting tips for January 5 in France Ligue 1
Sunday, 05 January 2025, 14h00 France Ligue 1
Strasbourg Strasbourg
PREDICTION Strasbourg wins Probability 62% 1 X 2
Auxerre Auxerre
ODD: @1.94 Don't miss this prediction!

Strasbourg x Auxerre Betting tips for January 5 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Strasbourg x Auxerre, Sunday, 5/1/2025
📅 5/1/2025
14:00
Strasbourg Strasbourg
1.94
X
3.60
Auxerre Auxerre
3.70

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Strasbourg x Auxerre:

🔮 Strasbourg wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Strasbourg, you can win up to $970.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Strasbourg x Auxerre:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Strasbourg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-15.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Auxerre in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $250.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Auxerre conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Strasbourg x Auxerre for the France Ligue 1 – 5 of January

🏟️ Strasbourg X Auxerre – France Ligue 1
📅 5 of January, 2025 – 14:00
🔵 Strasbourg – Winning probability: 62.91% | Fair line: 1.59
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.22% | Fair line: 5.49
🔴 Auxerre – Winning probability: 18.88% | Fair line: 5.3
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Strasbourg
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Strasbourg and Auxerre.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1242039 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Strasbourg x Auxerre

Is betting on Strasbourg worth it?

🔵 Strasbourg: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 62.91% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.94. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 630 times – this would give you a profit of $592.20
  • And would have lost other 370 times – with a loss of -$370.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$222.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $468.00;
  • And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$352.00.

Is it worth betting on Auxerre?

🔴 Auxerre: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $513.00;
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$297.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Strasbourg x Auxerre

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Strasbourg
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Strasbourg x Auxerre

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Strasbourg and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Strasbourg.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Strasbourg.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Strasbourg x Auxerre

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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