Strasbourg x Lens Betting tips for October 6 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Strasbourg x Lens, Sunday, 6/10/2024

📅 6/10/2024 12:00

Strasbourg 3.30

X 3.50

Lens 2.10

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Strasbourg x Lens:

🔮 Strasbourg wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Strasbourg, you can win up to $1650.00!

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The main points for the tip for Strasbourg x Lens: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Strasbourg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $125.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lens in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-178.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Strasbourg scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Lens matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Lens conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Looking for another bookie to bet on Strasbourg x Lens?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Strasbourg x Lens:

Analysis from Strasbourg x Lens for the France Ligue 1 – 6 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Strasbourg x Lens right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1195226 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Strasbourg x Lens

Is it a good idea to bet on Strasbourg?

🔵 Strasbourg: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 430 times – profiting $989.00;
• And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$419.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $550.00;
• And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$230.00.

Is it worth betting on Lens?

🔴 Lens: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $385.00;
• And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$265.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Strasbourg x Lens

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Strasbourg
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Strasbourg x Lens

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Strasbourg, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Strasbourg.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Strasbourg.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Strasbourg x Lens

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.