Toulouse x Angers Betting tips for October 20 in France Ligue 1
๐
20/10/2024 15:00 |
Toulouse 1.50 |
X 4.00 |
Angers 6.34 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Toulouse x Angers:
๐ฎ Toulouse wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Toulouse, you can win up to $750.00!
Some important points for the tip for Toulouse x Angers: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Toulouse in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-320.0. |
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Analysis from Toulouse x Angers for the France Ligue 1 – 20 of October
๐๏ธ Toulouse X Angers – France Ligue 1 |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Toulouse and Angers.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1204480 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Toulouse x Angers
Is betting on Toulouse worth it?
๐ต Toulouse: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 75.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 760 times – having a profit of $380.00;
- And would have lost other 240 times – with a loss of -$240.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$140.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $510.00
- And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$320.00.
Is it worth betting on Angers?
๐ด Angers: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.34. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 80 times – profiting $427.20;
- And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$492.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Toulouse x Angers
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Toulouse
โฝ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Toulouse x Angers
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Toulouse, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Toulouse.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Toulouse x Angers
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.