Toulouse x Le Havre Betting tips for September 15 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Toulouse x Le Havre, Sunday, 15/9/2024

📅 15/9/2024 12:00

Toulouse 1.73

X 3.72

Le Havre 4.75

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Toulouse x Le Havre:

🔮 Toulouse wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Toulouse, you can win up to $865.00!

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The main points for the tip for Toulouse x Le Havre: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Toulouse in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Le Havre in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-80.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Le Havre scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Le Havre, Toulouse scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Le Havre matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Toulouse x Le Havre, with Toulouse as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Le Havre has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Toulouse x Le Havre for the France Ligue 1 – 15 of September

When the best bet on Toulouse x Le Havre is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1180290 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Toulouse x Le Havre

Is betting on Toulouse worth it?

🔵 Toulouse: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 59.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.73. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 590 times – profiting $430.70;
• And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$20.70.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.72. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $598.40;
• And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$181.60.

Should you bet on Le Havre?

🔴 Le Havre: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $712.50
• And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$97.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Toulouse x Le Havre

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Toulouse
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Toulouse x Le Havre

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Toulouse and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Toulouse.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Le Havre.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Toulouse x Le Havre

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.