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Home ยป Predictions ยป AC Milan x Udinese Betting tips for October 19 in Italy Serie A
Saturday, 19 October 2024, 16h00 Italy Serie A
AC Milan AC Milan
PREDICTION AC Milan wins Probability 90% 1 X 2
Udinese Udinese
ODD: @1.36 Don't miss this prediction!

AC Milan x Udinese Betting tips for October 19 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for AC Milan x Udinese, Saturday, 19/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 19/10/2024
16:00
AC Milan AC Milan
1.36
X
5.00
Udinese Udinese
8.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for AC Milan x Udinese:

๐Ÿ”ฎ AC Milan wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AC Milan, you can win up to $680.00!

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Some important points for the tip for AC Milan x Udinese:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on AC Milan in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-89.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Udinese in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-32.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, AC Milan scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 AC Milan matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Udinese conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, AC Milan conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Udinese.

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Summary

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Analysis from AC Milan x Udinese for the Italy Serie A – 19 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ AC Milan X Udinese – Italy Serie A
๐Ÿ“… 19 of October, 2024 – 16:00
๐Ÿ”ต AC Milan – Winning probability: 90.69% | Fair line: 1.1
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 6.13% | Fair line: 16.32
๐Ÿ”ด Udinese – Winning probability: 3.19% | Fair line: 31.39
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 AC Milan
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AC Milan x Udinese right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1203336 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AC Milan x Udinese

Is it a good idea to bet on AC Milan?

๐Ÿ”ต AC Milan: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 90.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 910 times – profiting $327.60;
  • And would lose other 90 times – having a loss of -$90.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$237.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $240.00
  • And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$700.00.

Is it worth betting on Udinese?

๐Ÿ”ด Udinese: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 3.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 8.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 30 times – profiting $210.00;
  • And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$760.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AC Milan x Udinese

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 AC Milan
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AC Milan x Udinese

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 AC Milan, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 AC Milan. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AC Milan x Udinese

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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