Atalanta x Verona Betting tips for October 26 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Atalanta x Verona, Saturday, 26/10/2024

📅 26/10/2024 18:45

Atalanta 1.42

X 4.70

Verona 6.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Atalanta x Verona:

🔮 Atalanta wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atalanta, you can win up to $710.00!

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The main points for the tip for Atalanta x Verona: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atalanta in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-171.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Verona in each of its last 4 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $155.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Verona scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Verona, Atalanta scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Atalanta x Verona, with Atalanta as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Atalanta conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Verona.

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Analysis from Atalanta x Verona for the Italy Serie A – 26 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Atalanta x Verona right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1208103 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atalanta x Verona

Should you bet on Atalanta?

🔵 Atalanta: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 84.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.42. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 850 times – having a profit of $357.00;
• And would have lost other 150 times – with a loss of -$150.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$207.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $333.00;
• And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$577.00.

Is it worth betting on Verona?

🔴 Verona: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 60 times – profiting $330.00;
• And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$610.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Atalanta x Verona

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Atalanta
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atalanta x Verona

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Atalanta and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Atalanta.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Atalanta.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atalanta x Verona

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.