Como x Parma Betting tips for October 19 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Como x Parma, Saturday, 19/10/2024

📅 19/10/2024 13:00

Como 2.04

X 3.50

Parma 3.36

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Como x Parma:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Como x Parma

Some important points for the tip for Como x Parma: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Como in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-138.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Parma in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-110.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Parma, Como scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Como x Parma, with Como as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Parma received red cards in the last 3 matches as the away team. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Como conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Como has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Parma playing at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Como x Parma?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Como x Parma, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Como x Parma for the Italy Serie A – 19 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Como x Parma right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1203336 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Como x Parma

Is it worth betting on Como?

🔵 Como: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 53.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.04. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 540 times – profiting $561.60;
• And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$101.60, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 210 times – profiting $525.00;
• And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$265.00.

Is it worth betting on Parma?

🔴 Parma: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $613.60
• And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$126.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Como x Parma

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Como
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Como x Parma

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Como, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Como.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Como.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Como x Parma

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.