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Home » Predictions » Italy Serie A » Frosinone x Inter Milan Betting tips for May 10 in Italy Serie A
Friday, 10 May 2024, 18h45 Italy Serie A
Frosinone Frosinone
PREDICTION Inter Milan Wins Probability 82% 1 X 2
Inter Milan Inter Milan
ODD: @1.54 Don't miss this prediction!

Frosinone x Inter Milan Betting tips for May 10 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Frosinone x Inter Milan, Friday, 10/5/2024
📅 10/5/2024
18:45
Frosinone Frosinone
4.99
X
4.50
Inter Milan Inter Milan
1.54

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Frosinone x Inter Milan:

🔮 Inter Milan wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Inter Milan, you can win up to $770.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Frosinone x Inter Milan:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Frosinone in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-360.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Inter Milan in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $55.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Inter Milan conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Frosinone x Inter Milan for the Italy Serie A – 10 of May

🏟️ Frosinone X Inter Milan – Italy Serie A
📅 10 of May, 2024 – 18:45
🔵 Frosinone – Winning probability: 6.49% | Fair line: 15.41
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.62% | Fair line: 9.42
🔴 Inter Milan – Winning probability: 82.90% | Fair line: 1.21
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Frosinone
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Frosinone x Inter Milan right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1115880 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Frosinone x Inter Milan

Is betting on Frosinone worth it?

🔵 Frosinone: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.99. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $239.40
  • And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$700.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.62% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $385.00
  • And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$505.00.

Is betting on Inter Milan worth it?

🔴 Inter Milan: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 82.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.54. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 830 times – having a profit of $448.20;
  • And would lose other 170 times – losing -$170.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$278.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Frosinone x Inter Milan

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Frosinone
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Frosinone x Inter Milan

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Frosinone, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Frosinone.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Frosinone x Inter Milan

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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