Inter Milan x Napoli Betting tips for November 10 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Inter Milan x Napoli, Sunday, 10/11/2024

📅 10/11/2024 19:45

Inter Milan 1.79

X 3.74

Napoli 4.34

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Inter Milan x Napoli:

🔮 Napoli wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Napoli, you can win up to $2170.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Inter Milan x Napoli: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Inter Milan in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $135.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Napoli in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $127.0. 👉 Napoli did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Inter Milan scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Napoli, Inter Milan scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Napoli matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Napoli has not lost any of them. 👉 Inter Milan has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Napoli playing at home.

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Analysis from Inter Milan x Napoli for the Italy Serie A – 10 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Inter Milan and Napoli.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1218874 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Inter Milan x Napoli

Is it a good idea to bet on Inter Milan?

🔵 Inter Milan: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 46.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.79. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 460 times – profiting $363.40;
• And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$176.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.74. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $493.20
• And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$326.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Napoli?

🔴 Napoli: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.34. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $1202.40;
• And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$562.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Inter Milan x Napoli

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Inter Milan
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Inter Milan x Napoli

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Inter Milan, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Inter Milan.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Inter Milan x Napoli

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.