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Home » Predictions » Lazio x Inter Milan Betting tips for December 16 in Italy Serie A
Monday, 16 December 2024, 19h45 Italy Serie A
Lazio Lazio
PREDICTION No tip
Inter Milan Inter Milan
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Lazio x Inter Milan Betting tips for December 16 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Lazio x Inter Milan, Monday, 16/12/2024
📅 16/12/2024
19:45
Lazio Lazio
3.25
X
3.45
Inter Milan Inter Milan
2.17

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Lazio x Inter Milan:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Lazio x Inter Milan

Some important points for the tip for Lazio x Inter Milan:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lazio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $328.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Inter Milan in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $101.0.
👉 Playing as the home team, Lazio conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Inter Milan.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Lazio x Inter Milan?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Lazio x Inter Milan:

Analysis from Lazio x Inter Milan for the Italy Serie A – 16 of December

🏟️ Lazio X Inter Milan – Italy Serie A
📅 16 of December, 2024 – 19:45
🔵 Lazio – Winning probability: 25.79% | Fair line: 3.88
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.64% | Fair line: 4.06
🔴 Inter Milan – Winning probability: 49.58% | Fair line: 2.02
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Lazio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lazio x Inter Milan right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1236700 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lazio x Inter Milan

Is betting on Lazio worth it?

🔵 Lazio: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $585.00
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$155.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $612.50;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$137.50.

Should you bet on Inter Milan?

🔴 Inter Milan: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 49.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.17. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – profiting $585.00;
  • And would have lost other 500 times – with a loss of -$500.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$85.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Lazio x Inter Milan

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Lazio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lazio x Inter Milan

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Lazio and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Lazio.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Inter Milan.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lazio x Inter Milan

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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