Lecce x Empoli Betting tips for November 8 in Italy Serie A
| 📅 8/11/2024 19:45 |
 Lecce2.13 |
X 3.20 |
Empoli  3.60 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Lecce x Empoli:
🔮 Lecce wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lecce, you can win up to $1065.00!
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Important information for your tip for Lecce x Empoli: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lecce in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-40.0. |
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Analysis from Lecce x Empoli for the Italy Serie A – 8 of November
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🏟️ Lecce X Empoli – Italy Serie A |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Lecce and Empoli.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1217748 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Lecce x Empoli
Should you bet on Lecce?
🔵 Lecce: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.13. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 470 times – having a profit of $531.10;
- And would lose other 530 times – having a loss of -$530.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$1.10.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 280 times – profiting $616.00;
- And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$104.00.
Is it worth betting on Empoli?
🔴 Empoli: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 250 times – profiting $650.00;
- And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$100.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Lecce x Empoli
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Lecce
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lecce x Empoli
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Lecce and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Lecce.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Lecce.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lecce x Empoli
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
