Lecce x Parma Betting tips for September 21 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Lecce x Parma, Saturday, 21/9/2024

📅 21/9/2024 15:45

Lecce 2.24

X 3.30

Parma 3.14

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Lecce x Parma:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Lecce x Parma

Some important points for the tip for Lecce x Parma: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lecce in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-125.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Parma in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $310.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Parma, Lecce scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Lecce x Parma, with Lecce as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Lecce x Parma?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Lecce x Parma:

Analysis from Lecce x Parma for the Italy Serie A – 21 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Lecce and Parma.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1184423 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lecce x Parma

Is it worth betting on Lecce?

🔵 Lecce: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 46.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.24. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $570.40;
• And would lose other 540 times – losing -$540.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$30.40.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $667.00
• And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$43.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on Parma?

🔴 Parma: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.14. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 250 times – profiting $535.00;
• And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$215.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lecce x Parma

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Lecce
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lecce x Parma

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Lecce and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Lecce.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Parma.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lecce x Parma

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.