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Home » Predictions » Monza x Como Betting tips for April 5 in Italy Serie A
Saturday, 05 April 2025, 13h00 Italy Serie A
Monza Monza
PREDICTION Como Wins Probability 69% 1 X 2
Como Como
ODD: @1.8 Don't miss this prediction!

Monza x Como Betting tips for April 5 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Monza x Como, Saturday, 5/4/2025
📅 5/4/2025
13:00
Monza Monza
4.33
X
3.60
Como Como
1.80

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Monza x Como:

🔮 Como wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Como, you can win up to $900.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Monza x Como:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Monza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-80.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Como in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-170.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Como scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Como, Monza scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Monza matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Monza conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Como.
👉 Monza has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Como playing at home.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Monza x Como?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Monza x Como:

Analysis from Monza x Como for the Italy Serie A – 5 of April

🏟️ Monza X Como – Italy Serie A
📅 5 of April, 2025 – 13:00
🔵 Monza – Winning probability: 10.64% | Fair line: 9.4
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.98% | Fair line: 5.0
🔴 Como – Winning probability: 69.37% | Fair line: 1.44
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Monza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Monza and Como.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1295872 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Monza x Como

Should you bet on Monza?

🔵 Monza: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $366.30
  • And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$523.70.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $520.00
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$280.00.

Is it worth betting on Como?

🔴 Como: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 69.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 690 times – having a profit of $552.00;
  • And would lose other 310 times – losing -$310.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$242.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Monza x Como

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Monza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monza x Como

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Monza and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Monza.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monza x Como

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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