Monza x Lazio Betting tips for November 10 in Italy Serie A
| 📅 10/11/2024 17:00 |
 Monza4.40 |
X 3.60 |
Lazio  1.80 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Monza x Lazio:
🔮 Lazio wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lazio, you can win up to $900.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Monza x Lazio: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Monza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-325.0. |
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Analysis from Monza x Lazio for the Italy Serie A – 10 of November
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🏟️ Monza X Lazio – Italy Serie A |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Monza and Lazio.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1218874 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Monza x Lazio
Is betting on Monza worth it?
🔵 Monza: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 130 times – profiting $442.00;
- And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$428.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $598.00;
- And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$172.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Lazio?
🔴 Lazio: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 63.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 640 times – this would give you a profit of $512.00
- And would have lost other 360 times – with a loss of -$360.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$152.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Monza x Lazio
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Monza
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monza x Lazio
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Monza, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Monza.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monza x Lazio
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
