Roma x Juventus Betting tips for May 5 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Roma x Juventus, Sunday, 5/5/2024

📅 5/5/2024 18:45

Roma 2.80

X 3.10

Juventus 2.62

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Roma x Juventus:

🔮 Juventus wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Juventus, you can win up to $1310.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Roma x Juventus: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Roma in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $175.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Juventus in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Juventus, Roma scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Juventus received red cards as the away team in all the last 3 head-to-head matches against Roma. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Roma conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Roma x Juventus?

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Analysis from Roma x Juventus for the Italy Serie A – 5 of May

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Roma and Juventus.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1112029 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Roma x Juventus

Is betting on Roma worth it?

🔵 Roma: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $270.00
• And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$580.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – profiting $504.00;
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$256.00.

Is it worth betting on Juventus?

🔴 Juventus: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 60.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 610 times – having a profit of $988.20;
• And would have lost other 390 times – with a loss of -$390.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$598.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Roma x Juventus

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Roma
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Roma x Juventus

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Roma and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Roma.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Juventus.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Roma x Juventus

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.