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Home ยป Predictions ยป Italy Serie A ยป Salernitana x Atalanta Betting tips for May 6 in Italy Serie A
Monday, 06 May 2024, 16h00 Italy Serie A
Salernitana Salernitana
PREDICTION Atalanta Wins Probability 93% 1 X 2
Atalanta Atalanta
ODD: @1.36 Don't miss this prediction!

Salernitana x Atalanta Betting tips for May 6 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Salernitana x Atalanta, Monday, 6/5/2024
๐Ÿ“… 6/5/2024
16:00
Salernitana Salernitana
7.30
X
5.00
Atalanta Atalanta
1.36

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Salernitana x Atalanta:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Atalanta wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atalanta, you can win up to $680.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Salernitana x Atalanta:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Salernitana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Atalanta in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $495.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Atalanta scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Salernitana conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Atalanta has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Salernitana x Atalanta?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Salernitana x Atalanta, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Salernitana x Atalanta for the Italy Serie A – 6 of May

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Salernitana X Atalanta – Italy Serie A
๐Ÿ“… 6 of May, 2024 – 16:00
๐Ÿ”ต Salernitana – Winning probability: 2.27% | Fair line: 44.08
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 4.19% | Fair line: 23.89
๐Ÿ”ด Atalanta – Winning probability: 93.55% | Fair line: 1.07
โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.75 Salernitana
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Salernitana x Atalanta is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1112137 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Salernitana x Atalanta

Is betting on Salernitana worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Salernitana: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $126.00;
  • And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$854.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $160.00
  • And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$800.00.

Is it worth betting on Atalanta?

๐Ÿ”ด Atalanta: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 93.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 940 times – having a profit of $338.40;
  • And would lose other 60 times – having a loss of -$60.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$278.40.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Salernitana x Atalanta

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.75 Salernitana
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Salernitana x Atalanta

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.75 Salernitana, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 Salernitana.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Atalanta.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Salernitana x Atalanta

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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