Udinese x Napoli Betting tips for May 6 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Udinese x Napoli, Monday, 6/5/2024

📅 6/5/2024 18:45

Udinese 3.70

X 3.55

Napoli 1.94

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Udinese x Napoli:

🔮 Napoli wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Napoli, you can win up to $970.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Udinese x Napoli: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Udinese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Napoli in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-145.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Udinese scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Udinese matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Udinese conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Napoli conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Udinese conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Napoli. 👉 It is not a good time for Udinese as home team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last home matches.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Udinese x Napoli?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Udinese x Napoli, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Udinese x Napoli for the Italy Serie A – 6 of May

When the best bet on Udinese x Napoli is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1113358 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Udinese x Napoli

Should you bet on Udinese?

🔵 Udinese: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $648.00
• And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$112.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $561.00;
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$219.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Napoli?

🔴 Napoli: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 54.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.94. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 540 times – this would give you a profit of $507.60
• And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$47.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Udinese x Napoli

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Udinese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Udinese x Napoli

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Udinese and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Udinese.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Udinese x Napoli

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.