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Home » Predictions » Venezia x Genoa Betting tips for September 21 in Italy Serie A
Saturday, 21 September 2024, 10h00 Italy Serie A
Venezia Venezia
PREDICTION No tip
Genoa Genoa
Don't miss this prediction!

Venezia x Genoa Betting tips for September 21 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Venezia x Genoa, Saturday, 21/9/2024
📅 21/9/2024
10:00
Venezia Venezia
3.10
X
3.22
Genoa Genoa
2.31

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Venezia x Genoa:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Venezia x Genoa

Important information for your tip for Venezia x Genoa:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Genoa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $155.0.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Venezia x Genoa?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Venezia x Genoa, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Venezia x Genoa for the Italy Serie A – 21 of September

🏟️ Venezia X Genoa – Italy Serie A
📅 21 of September, 2024 – 10:00
🔵 Venezia – Winning probability: 29.96% | Fair line: 3.34
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.80% | Fair line: 3.88
🔴 Genoa – Winning probability: 44.25% | Fair line: 2.26
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Venezia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Venezia and Genoa.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1184423 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Venezia x Genoa

Is it a good idea to bet on Venezia?

🔵 Venezia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.96% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $630.00
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$70.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $577.20;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$162.80.

Should you bet on Genoa?

🔴 Genoa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 44.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.31. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $576.40
  • And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$16.40 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Venezia x Genoa

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Venezia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Venezia x Genoa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Venezia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Venezia.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Venezia x Genoa

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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