Juarez FC x Necaxa Betting tips for April 16 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Juarez FC x Necaxa, Wednesday, 16/4/2025

📅 16/4/2025
03:00

Juarez FC
2.70

X
3.25

Necaxa

2.39

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Juarez FC x Necaxa:

🔮 Juarez FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Juarez FC, you can win up to $1350.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Juarez FC x Necaxa:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Juarez FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $83.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Necaxa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $568.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Juarez FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Necaxa scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Necaxa, Juarez FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Necaxa matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Juarez FC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Necaxa.
👉 Juarez FC has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Necaxa playing at home.

Summary

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Analysis from Juarez FC x Necaxa for the Mexico Liga MX – 16 of April

🏟️ Juarez FC X Necaxa – Mexico Liga MX
📅 16 of April, 2025 – 03:00
🔵 Juarez FC – Winning probability: 51.38% | Fair line: 1.95
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.64% | Fair line: 4.62
🔴 Necaxa – Winning probability: 26.97% | Fair line: 3.71
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Juarez FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Juarez FC and Necaxa.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1304965 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Juarez FC x Necaxa

Is betting on Juarez FC worth it?

🔵 Juarez FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 51.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 510 times – profiting $867.00;
And would lose other 490 times – having a loss of -$490.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$377.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 220 times – profiting $495.00;
And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$285.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Necaxa?

🔴 Necaxa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.39. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $375.30;
And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$354.70.

Handicaps analysis for the match Juarez FC x Necaxa

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Juarez FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Juarez FC x Necaxa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Juarez FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Juarez FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Necaxa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Juarez FC x Necaxa

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.