AFC Leopards x Gor Mahia Betting tips for March 30 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for AFC Leopards x Gor Mahia, Sunday, 30/3/2025

📅 30/3/2025 13:00

AFC Leopards 2.99

X 2.90

Gor Mahia 2.35

Our algorithm has selected this tip for AFC Leopards x Gor Mahia:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for AFC Leopards x Gor Mahia

The main points for the tip for AFC Leopards x Gor Mahia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on AFC Leopards in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Gor Mahia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-143.0. 👉 In the last 4 AFC Leopards matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between AFC Leopards x Gor Mahia, with AFC Leopards as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Gor Mahia has not lost any of them.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on AFC Leopards x Gor Mahia?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from AFC Leopards x Gor Mahia for the Kenya Premier League – 30 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AFC Leopards x Gor Mahia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1291320 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AFC Leopards x Gor Mahia

Is betting on AFC Leopards worth it?

🔵 AFC Leopards: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.99. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 250 times – profiting $497.50;
• And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$252.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $646.00;
• And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$14.00.

Is betting on Gor Mahia worth it?

🔴 Gor Mahia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $553.50;
• And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$36.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match AFC Leopards x Gor Mahia

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 AFC Leopards
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AFC Leopards x Gor Mahia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 AFC Leopards and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 AFC Leopards.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AFC Leopards x Gor Mahia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.