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Home » Predictions » AFC Leopards x Kenya Police FC Betting tips for December 1 in Kenya Premier League
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 13h00 Kenya Premier League
AFC Leopards AFC Leopards
PREDICTION AFC Leopards wins Probability 44% 1 X 2
Kenya Police FC Kenya Police FC
ODD: @2.4 Don't miss this prediction!

AFC Leopards x Kenya Police FC Betting tips for December 1 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for AFC Leopards x Kenya Police FC, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
13:00
AFC Leopards AFC Leopards
2.40
X
2.88
Kenya Police FC Kenya Police FC
2.88

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for AFC Leopards x Kenya Police FC:

🔮 AFC Leopards wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AFC Leopards, you can win up to $1200.00!

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The main points for the tip for AFC Leopards x Kenya Police FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on AFC Leopards in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-327.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Kenya Police FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $500.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Kenya Police FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, AFC Leopards conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Kenya Police FC has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on AFC Leopards x Kenya Police FC?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on AFC Leopards x Kenya Police FC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from AFC Leopards x Kenya Police FC for the Kenya Premier League – 1 of December

🏟️ AFC Leopards X Kenya Police FC – Kenya Premier League
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 AFC Leopards – Winning probability: 44.52% | Fair line: 2.25
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.97% | Fair line: 3.45
🔴 Kenya Police FC – Winning probability: 26.51% | Fair line: 3.77
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 AFC Leopards
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on AFC Leopards x Kenya Police FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AFC Leopards x Kenya Police FC

Is betting on AFC Leopards worth it?

🔵 AFC Leopards: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $630.00
  • And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$80.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.97% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $545.20;
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$164.80.

Is it worth betting on Kenya Police FC?

🔴 Kenya Police FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $507.60;
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$222.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AFC Leopards x Kenya Police FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 AFC Leopards
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AFC Leopards x Kenya Police FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 AFC Leopards and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 AFC Leopards.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Kenya Police FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AFC Leopards x Kenya Police FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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