AFC Leopards x Nairobi City Stars Betting tips for September 29 in Kenya Premier League
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29/9/2024 09:00 |
 AFC Leopards2.05 |
X 3.00 |
Nairobi City Stars  3.64 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for AFC Leopards x Nairobi City Stars:
π Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for AFC Leopards x Nairobi City Stars
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Important information for your tip for AFC Leopards x Nairobi City Stars: π If you had bet $100 on Nairobi City Stars in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-170.0. |
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on AFC Leopards x Nairobi City Stars?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on AFC Leopards x Nairobi City Stars:
Analysis from AFC Leopards x Nairobi City Stars for the Kenya Premier League – 29 of September
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ποΈ AFC Leopards X Nairobi City Stars – Kenya Premier League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AFC Leopards x Nairobi City Stars right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for AFC Leopards x Nairobi City Stars
Is it worth betting on AFC Leopards?
π΅ AFC Leopards: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 450 times – profiting $472.50;
- And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$77.50.
Should you bet on draw?
βͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $620.00;
- And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$70.00.
Should you bet on Nairobi City Stars?
π΄ Nairobi City Stars: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.64. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $633.60
- And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$126.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match AFC Leopards x Nairobi City Stars
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.5 AFC Leopards
β½ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AFC Leopards x Nairobi City Stars
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 AFC Leopards, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 AFC Leopards.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 AFC Leopards.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AFC Leopards x Nairobi City Stars
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
