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Home Β» Predictions Β» Kenyan Premier League Β» Bandari FC x KCB Betting tips for April 20 in Kenya Premier League
Saturday, 20 April 2024, 12h00 Kenya Premier League
Bandari FC Bandari FC
PREDICTION No tip
KCB KCB
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Bandari FC x KCB Betting tips for April 20 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Bandari FC x KCB, Saturday, 20/4/2024
πŸ“… 20/4/2024
12:00
Bandari FC Bandari FC
1.85
X
3.10
KCB KCB
4.14

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Bandari FC x KCB:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Bandari FC x KCB

Some important points for the tip for Bandari FC x KCB:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bandari FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-50.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on KCB in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-240.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Bandari FC matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Bandari FC x KCB?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Bandari FC x KCB, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Bandari FC x KCB for the Kenya Premier League – 20 of April

🏟️ Bandari FC X KCB – Kenya Premier League
πŸ“… 20 of April, 2024 – 12:00
πŸ”΅ Bandari FC – Winning probability: 52.49% | Fair line: 1.91
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.84% | Fair line: 3.24
πŸ”΄ KCB – Winning probability: 16.68% | Fair line: 6.0
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Bandari FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bandari FC x KCB right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1100583 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bandari FC x KCB

Should you bet on Bandari FC?

πŸ”΅ Bandari FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 52.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 520 times – profiting $442.00;
  • And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$38.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $651.00
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$39.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on KCB?

πŸ”΄ KCB: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.68% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.14. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $533.80
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$296.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bandari FC x KCB

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Bandari FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bandari FC x KCB

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Bandari FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Bandari FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 KCB.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bandari FC x KCB

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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