Bandari FC x KCB Betting tips for December 8 in Kenya Premier League
📅 8/12/2024 12:00 |
Bandari FC 2.58 |
X 2.72 |
KCB 2.82 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Bandari FC x KCB:
🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for Bandari FC x KCB: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bandari FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $143.0. |
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Analysis from Bandari FC x KCB for the Kenya Premier League – 8 of December
🏟️ Bandari FC X KCB – Kenya Premier League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bandari FC x KCB right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1233707 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Bandari FC x KCB
Is it a good idea to bet on Bandari FC?
🔵 Bandari FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.58. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $442.40
- And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$277.60.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.72. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $653.60;
- And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$33.60.
Is it worth betting on KCB?
🔴 KCB: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.82. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $637.00
- And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$13.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Bandari FC x KCB
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Bandari FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bandari FC x KCB
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Bandari FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Bandari FC.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 KCB.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bandari FC x KCB
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.50 goals.