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Home » Predictions » Bandari FC x Mara Sugar FC Betting tips for September 15 in Kenya Premier League
Sunday, 15 September 2024, 09h00 Kenya Premier League
Bandari FC Bandari FC
PREDICTION Bandari FC wins Probability 66% 1 X 2
Mara Sugar FC Mara Sugar FC
ODD: @1.7 Don't miss this prediction!

Bandari FC x Mara Sugar FC Betting tips for September 15 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Bandari FC x Mara Sugar FC, Sunday, 15/9/2024
📅 15/9/2024
09:00
Bandari FC Bandari FC
1.70
X
3.10
Mara Sugar FC Mara Sugar FC
5.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Bandari FC x Mara Sugar FC:

🔮 Bandari FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bandari FC, you can win up to $850.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Bandari FC x Mara Sugar FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bandari FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Mara Sugar FC scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Bandari FC x Mara Sugar FC for the Kenya Premier League – 15 of September

🏟️ Bandari FC X Mara Sugar FC – Kenya Premier League
📅 15 of September, 2024 – 09:00
🔵 Bandari FC – Winning probability: 66.43% | Fair line: 1.51
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.11% | Fair line: 4.33
🔴 Mara Sugar FC – Winning probability: 10.46% | Fair line: 9.56
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Bandari FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bandari FC x Mara Sugar FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1180290 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bandari FC x Mara Sugar FC

Is betting on Bandari FC worth it?

🔵 Bandari FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 66.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 660 times – profiting $462.00;
  • And would lose other 340 times – losing -$340.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$122.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $483.00;
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$287.00.

Is betting on Mara Sugar FC worth it?

🔴 Mara Sugar FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – profiting $400.00;
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$500.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bandari FC x Mara Sugar FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Bandari FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bandari FC x Mara Sugar FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Bandari FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Bandari FC. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bandari FC x Mara Sugar FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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