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Home » Predictions » Kenyan Premier League » Bidco United x Mathare United Betting tips for December 12 in Kenya Premier League
Friday, 12 December 2025, 12h00 Kenya Premier League
Bidco United Bidco United
PREDICTION No tip
Mathare United Mathare United
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Bidco United x Mathare United Betting tips for December 12 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Bidco United x Mathare United, Friday, 12/12/2025
📅 12/12/2025
12:00
Bidco United Bidco United
2.22
X
2.80
Mathare United Mathare United
3.30

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Bidco United x Mathare United:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Bidco United x Mathare United

Some important points for the tip for Bidco United x Mathare United:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bidco United in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Mathare United in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $410.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Mathare United, Bidco United scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 Mathare United matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Bidco United x Mathare United for the Kenya Premier League – 12 of December

🏟️ Bidco United X Mathare United – Kenya Premier League
📅 12 of December, 2025 – 12:00
🔵 Bidco United – Winning probability: 39.50% | Fair line: 2.53
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 36.60% | Fair line: 2.73
🔴 Mathare United – Winning probability: 23.90% | Fair line: 4.18
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Bidco United
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Bidco United x Mathare United is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452043 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bidco United x Mathare United

Is betting on Bidco United worth it?

🔵 Bidco United: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – profiting $475.80;
  • And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$134.20.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – profiting $666.00;
  • And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$36.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on Mathare United?

🔴 Mathare United: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $552.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$208.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bidco United x Mathare United

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Bidco United
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bidco United x Mathare United

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Bidco United and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Bidco United.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Bidco United.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bidco United x Mathare United

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves