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Home Β» Predictions Β» Bidco United x Sofapaka FC Betting tips for December 21 in Kenya Premier League
Saturday, 21 December 2024, 10h00 Kenya Premier League
Bidco United Bidco United
PREDICTION No tip
Sofapaka FC Sofapaka FC
Don't miss this prediction!

Bidco United x Sofapaka FC Betting tips for December 21 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Bidco United x Sofapaka FC, Saturday, 21/12/2024
πŸ“… 21/12/2024
10:00
Bidco United Bidco United
2.55
X
2.82
Sofapaka FC Sofapaka FC
2.74

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Bidco United x Sofapaka FC:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Bidco United x Sofapaka FC

The main points for the tip for Bidco United x Sofapaka FC:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bidco United in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-175.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sofapaka FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $32.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Sofapaka FC, Bidco United scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Bidco United x Sofapaka FC, with Bidco United as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Bidco United conceded at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 road matches, Sofapaka FC has not lost any of them.
πŸ‘‰ Bidco United has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Sofapaka FC playing at home.
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Bidco United as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Bidco United x Sofapaka FC for the Kenya Premier League – 21 of December

🏟️ Bidco United X Sofapaka FC – Kenya Premier League
πŸ“… 21 of December, 2024 – 10:00
πŸ”΅ Bidco United – Winning probability: 31.52% | Fair line: 3.17
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.28% | Fair line: 3.2
πŸ”΄ Sofapaka FC – Winning probability: 37.20% | Fair line: 2.69
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Bidco United
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Bidco United x Sofapaka FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1238880 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bidco United x Sofapaka FC

Is it worth betting on Bidco United?

πŸ”΅ Bidco United: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $496.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$184.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.82. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $564.20
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$125.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Sofapaka FC?

πŸ”΄ Sofapaka FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.74. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $643.80;
  • And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$13.80, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bidco United x Sofapaka FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Bidco United
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bidco United x Sofapaka FC

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Bidco United and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Bidco United.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Sofapaka FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bidco United x Sofapaka FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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