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Home » Predictions » Kenyan Premier League » FC Talanta x Muranga Seal Betting tips for December 22 in Kenya Premier League
Sunday, 22 December 2024, 10h00 Kenya Premier League
FC Talanta FC Talanta
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 39% 1 X 2
Muranga Seal Muranga Seal
ODD: @2.82 Don't miss this prediction!

FC Talanta x Muranga Seal Betting tips for December 22 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for FC Talanta x Muranga Seal, Sunday, 22/12/2024
📅 22/12/2024
10:00
FC Talanta FC Talanta
2.44
X
2.82
Muranga Seal Muranga Seal
2.99

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for FC Talanta x Muranga Seal:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1410.00!

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Important information for your tip for FC Talanta x Muranga Seal:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Talanta in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-35.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Muranga Seal in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $125.0.
👉 In the last 3 Muranga Seal matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from FC Talanta x Muranga Seal for the Kenya Premier League – 22 of December

🏟️ FC Talanta X Muranga Seal – Kenya Premier League
📅 22 of December, 2024 – 10:00
🔵 FC Talanta – Winning probability: 35.52% | Fair line: 2.81
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 39.11% | Fair line: 2.56
🔴 Muranga Seal – Winning probability: 25.36% | Fair line: 3.94
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 FC Talanta
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FC Talanta x Muranga Seal right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1239261 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Talanta x Muranga Seal

Is it a good idea to bet on FC Talanta?

🔵 FC Talanta: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.44. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $518.40
  • And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$121.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.82. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $709.80
  • And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$99.80.

Is it worth betting on Muranga Seal?

🔴 Muranga Seal: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.99. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $497.50
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$252.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Talanta x Muranga Seal

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 FC Talanta
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Talanta x Muranga Seal

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 FC Talanta, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 FC Talanta.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Talanta x Muranga Seal

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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