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Home » Predictions » Kenyan Premier League » FC Talanta x Nairobi City Stars Betting tips for April 20 in Kenya Premier League
Saturday, 20 April 2024, 12h00 Kenya Premier League
FC Talanta FC Talanta
PREDICTION No tip
Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars
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FC Talanta x Nairobi City Stars Betting tips for April 20 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for FC Talanta x Nairobi City Stars, Saturday, 20/4/2024
📅 20/4/2024
12:00
FC Talanta FC Talanta
2.82
X
2.80
Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars
2.48

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for FC Talanta x Nairobi City Stars:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for FC Talanta x Nairobi City Stars

The main points for the tip for FC Talanta x Nairobi City Stars:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Talanta in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 Nairobi City Stars matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, FC Talanta conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, FC Talanta conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Nairobi City Stars.

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Summary

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Analysis from FC Talanta x Nairobi City Stars for the Kenya Premier League – 20 of April

🏟️ FC Talanta X Nairobi City Stars – Kenya Premier League
📅 20 of April, 2024 – 12:00
🔵 FC Talanta – Winning probability: 24.85% | Fair line: 4.02
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.96% | Fair line: 2.94
🔴 Nairobi City Stars – Winning probability: 41.19% | Fair line: 2.43
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 FC Talanta
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FC Talanta and Nairobi City Stars.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1100583 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Talanta x Nairobi City Stars

Is betting on FC Talanta worth it?

🔵 FC Talanta: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.82. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $455.00
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$295.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $612.00;
  • And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$48.00.

Is it worth betting on Nairobi City Stars?

🔴 Nairobi City Stars: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.48. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $606.80
  • And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$16.80. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Talanta x Nairobi City Stars

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 FC Talanta
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Talanta x Nairobi City Stars

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 FC Talanta and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 FC Talanta. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Talanta x Nairobi City Stars

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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