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Home » Predictions » Kenyan Premier League » Gor Mahia x AFC Leopards Betting tips for December 7 in Kenya Premier League
Sunday, 07 December 2025, 12h00 Kenya Premier League
Gor Mahia Gor Mahia
PREDICTION No tip
AFC Leopards AFC Leopards
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Gor Mahia x AFC Leopards Betting tips for December 7 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Gor Mahia x AFC Leopards, Sunday, 7/12/2025
📅 7/12/2025
12:00
Gor Mahia Gor Mahia
1.95
X
3.00
AFC Leopards AFC Leopards
3.90

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Gor Mahia x AFC Leopards:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Gor Mahia x AFC Leopards

Some important points for the tip for Gor Mahia x AFC Leopards:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Gor Mahia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-142.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AFC Leopards in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $27.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Gor Mahia scored at least 1.0 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against AFC Leopards, Gor Mahia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, AFC Leopards conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Gor Mahia x AFC Leopards for the Kenya Premier League – 7 of December

🏟️ Gor Mahia X AFC Leopards – Kenya Premier League
📅 7 of December, 2025 – 12:00
🔵 Gor Mahia – Winning probability: 49.65% | Fair line: 2.01
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.29% | Fair line: 3.2
🔴 AFC Leopards – Winning probability: 19.06% | Fair line: 5.25
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Gor Mahia
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Gor Mahia x AFC Leopards is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1449543 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Gor Mahia x AFC Leopards

Is it worth betting on Gor Mahia?

🔵 Gor Mahia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – this would give you a profit of $475.00
  • And would lose other 500 times – having a loss of -$500.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$25.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $620.00;
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$70.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on AFC Leopards?

🔴 AFC Leopards: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $551.00;
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$259.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Gor Mahia x AFC Leopards

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Gor Mahia
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gor Mahia x AFC Leopards

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Gor Mahia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Gor Mahia.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gor Mahia x AFC Leopards

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves