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Home » Predictions » Gor Mahia x Kariobangi Sharks Betting tips for December 21 in Kenya Premier League
Saturday, 21 December 2024, 13h00 Kenya Premier League
Gor Mahia Gor Mahia
PREDICTION Gor Mahia wins Probability 76% 1 X 2
Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks
ODD: @1.61 Don't miss this prediction!

Gor Mahia x Kariobangi Sharks Betting tips for December 21 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Gor Mahia x Kariobangi Sharks, Saturday, 21/12/2024
📅 21/12/2024
13:00
Gor Mahia Gor Mahia
1.61
X
3.60
Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks
4.90

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Gor Mahia x Kariobangi Sharks:

🔮 Gor Mahia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gor Mahia, you can win up to $805.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Gor Mahia x Kariobangi Sharks:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Gor Mahia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-117.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Kariobangi Sharks in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-245.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Kariobangi Sharks, Gor Mahia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Kariobangi Sharks matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Gor Mahia x Kariobangi Sharks, with Gor Mahia as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Gor Mahia has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Kariobangi Sharks playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Gor Mahia x Kariobangi Sharks?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Gor Mahia x Kariobangi Sharks:

Analysis from Gor Mahia x Kariobangi Sharks for the Kenya Premier League – 21 of December

🏟️ Gor Mahia X Kariobangi Sharks – Kenya Premier League
📅 21 of December, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 Gor Mahia – Winning probability: 76.25% | Fair line: 1.31
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.22% | Fair line: 6.57
🔴 Kariobangi Sharks – Winning probability: 8.52% | Fair line: 11.73
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Gor Mahia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Gor Mahia and Kariobangi Sharks.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1238880 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Gor Mahia x Kariobangi Sharks

Is it worth betting on Gor Mahia?

🔵 Gor Mahia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 76.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.61. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 760 times – this would give you a profit of $463.60
  • And would lose other 240 times – having a loss of -$240.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$223.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $390.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$460.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Kariobangi Sharks?

🔴 Kariobangi Sharks: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $351.00
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$559.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Gor Mahia x Kariobangi Sharks

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Gor Mahia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gor Mahia x Kariobangi Sharks

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Gor Mahia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Gor Mahia.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gor Mahia x Kariobangi Sharks

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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