Gor Mahia x KCB Betting tips for October 23 in Kenya Premier League
| 📅 23/10/2024 13:00 |
 Gor Mahia2.32 |
X 2.90 |
KCB  3.00 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Gor Mahia x KCB:
🔮 KCB wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on KCB, you can win up to $1500.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Gor Mahia x KCB: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Gor Mahia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-167.0. |
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Analysis from Gor Mahia x KCB for the Kenya Premier League – 23 of October
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🏟️ Gor Mahia X KCB – Kenya Premier League |
When the best bet on Gor Mahia x KCB is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1207748 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Gor Mahia x KCB
Is it a good idea to bet on Gor Mahia?
🔵 Gor Mahia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.32. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $541.20
- And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$48.80.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $551.00;
- And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$159.00.
Is it worth betting on KCB?
🔴 KCB: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $580.00
- And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$130.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Gor Mahia x KCB
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Gor Mahia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gor Mahia x KCB
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Gor Mahia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Gor Mahia.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 KCB.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gor Mahia x KCB
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
