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Home » Predictions » Kenyan Premier League » Gor Mahia x Ulinzi Stars Betting tips for December 18 in Kenya Premier League
Wednesday, 18 December 2024, 13h00 Kenya Premier League
Gor Mahia Gor Mahia
PREDICTION Gor Mahia wins Probability 75% 1 X 2
Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars
ODD: @1.64 Don't miss this prediction!

Gor Mahia x Ulinzi Stars Betting tips for December 18 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Gor Mahia x Ulinzi Stars, Wednesday, 18/12/2024
📅 18/12/2024
13:00
Gor Mahia Gor Mahia
1.64
X
3.32
Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars
5.06

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Gor Mahia x Ulinzi Stars:

🔮 Gor Mahia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gor Mahia, you can win up to $820.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Gor Mahia x Ulinzi Stars:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Gor Mahia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-327.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ulinzi Stars in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-280.0.
👉 In the last 3 Gor Mahia matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Ulinzi Stars conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Gor Mahia has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Ulinzi Stars playing at home.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Gor Mahia x Ulinzi Stars?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Gor Mahia x Ulinzi Stars, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Gor Mahia x Ulinzi Stars for the Kenya Premier League – 18 of December

🏟️ Gor Mahia X Ulinzi Stars – Kenya Premier League
📅 18 of December, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 Gor Mahia – Winning probability: 75.93% | Fair line: 1.32
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.89% | Fair line: 5.59
🔴 Ulinzi Stars – Winning probability: 6.18% | Fair line: 16.18
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Gor Mahia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Gor Mahia x Ulinzi Stars is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1238362 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Gor Mahia x Ulinzi Stars

Is it worth betting on Gor Mahia?

🔵 Gor Mahia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 75.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.64. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 760 times – this would give you a profit of $486.40
  • And would have lost other 240 times – with a loss of -$240.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$246.40.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.32. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – profiting $417.60;
  • And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$402.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Ulinzi Stars?

🔴 Ulinzi Stars: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.06. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $243.60;
  • And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$696.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Gor Mahia x Ulinzi Stars

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Gor Mahia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gor Mahia x Ulinzi Stars

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Gor Mahia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Gor Mahia. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gor Mahia x Ulinzi Stars

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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