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Home Β» Predictions Β» Kakamega Homeboyz x Kariobangi Sharks Betting tips for September 29 in Kenya Premier League
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 09h00 Kenya Premier League
Kakamega Homeboyz Kakamega Homeboyz
PREDICTION No tip
Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks
Don't miss this prediction!

Kakamega Homeboyz x Kariobangi Sharks Betting tips for September 29 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Kakamega Homeboyz x Kariobangi Sharks, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
09:00
Kakamega Homeboyz Kakamega Homeboyz
2.12
X
2.96
Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks
3.49

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Kakamega Homeboyz x Kariobangi Sharks:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Kakamega Homeboyz x Kariobangi Sharks

The main points for the tip for Kakamega Homeboyz x Kariobangi Sharks:

πŸ‘‰ Kakamega Homeboyz did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Kariobangi Sharks, Kakamega Homeboyz scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Kakamega Homeboyz matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Kakamega Homeboyz conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Kariobangi Sharks.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 road matches, Kariobangi Sharks has not lost any of them.
πŸ‘‰ Kakamega Homeboyz has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Kariobangi Sharks playing at home.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Kakamega Homeboyz x Kariobangi Sharks?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Kakamega Homeboyz x Kariobangi Sharks, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Kakamega Homeboyz x Kariobangi Sharks for the Kenya Premier League – 29 of September

🏟️ Kakamega Homeboyz X Kariobangi Sharks – Kenya Premier League
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 09:00
πŸ”΅ Kakamega Homeboyz – Winning probability: 45.32% | Fair line: 2.21
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.40% | Fair line: 2.99
πŸ”΄ Kariobangi Sharks – Winning probability: 21.28% | Fair line: 4.7
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Kakamega Homeboyz
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Kakamega Homeboyz x Kariobangi Sharks is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Kakamega Homeboyz x Kariobangi Sharks

Is it a good idea to bet on Kakamega Homeboyz?

πŸ”΅ Kakamega Homeboyz: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 45.32%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.12. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $504.00;
  • And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$46.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.96. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $646.80;
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$23.20.

Is betting on Kariobangi Sharks worth it?

πŸ”΄ Kariobangi Sharks: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.49. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $522.90;
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$267.10.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Kakamega Homeboyz x Kariobangi Sharks

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Kakamega Homeboyz
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kakamega Homeboyz x Kariobangi Sharks

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Kakamega Homeboyz, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Kakamega Homeboyz.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kakamega Homeboyz x Kariobangi Sharks

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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