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Home » Predictions » Kakamega Homeboyz x Mathare United Betting tips for September 15 in Kenya Premier League
Sunday, 15 September 2024, 09h00 Kenya Premier League
Kakamega Homeboyz Kakamega Homeboyz
PREDICTION Kakamega Homeboyz wins Probability 77% 1 X 2
Mathare United Mathare United
ODD: @1.53 Don't miss this prediction!

Kakamega Homeboyz x Mathare United Betting tips for September 15 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Kakamega Homeboyz x Mathare United, Sunday, 15/9/2024
📅 15/9/2024
09:00
Kakamega Homeboyz Kakamega Homeboyz
1.53
X
3.45
Mathare United Mathare United
6.75

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Kakamega Homeboyz x Mathare United:

🔮 Kakamega Homeboyz wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Kakamega Homeboyz, you can win up to $765.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Kakamega Homeboyz x Mathare United:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Mathare United in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $110.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Kakamega Homeboyz scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Mathare United, Kakamega Homeboyz scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Kakamega Homeboyz has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Mathare United playing at home.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Kakamega Homeboyz x Mathare United?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Kakamega Homeboyz x Mathare United, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Kakamega Homeboyz x Mathare United for the Kenya Premier League – 15 of September

🏟️ Kakamega Homeboyz X Mathare United – Kenya Premier League
📅 15 of September, 2024 – 09:00
🔵 Kakamega Homeboyz – Winning probability: 77.55% | Fair line: 1.29
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.39% | Fair line: 5.75
🔴 Mathare United – Winning probability: 5.06% | Fair line: 19.76
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Kakamega Homeboyz
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Kakamega Homeboyz x Mathare United is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1180290 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Kakamega Homeboyz x Mathare United

Should you bet on Kakamega Homeboyz?

🔵 Kakamega Homeboyz: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 77.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.53. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 780 times – profiting $413.40;
  • And would lose other 220 times – losing -$220.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$193.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $416.50
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$413.50.

Is betting on Mathare United worth it?

🔴 Mathare United: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $287.50;
  • And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$662.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Kakamega Homeboyz x Mathare United

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Kakamega Homeboyz
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kakamega Homeboyz x Mathare United

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Kakamega Homeboyz, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Kakamega Homeboyz.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Mathare United.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kakamega Homeboyz x Mathare United

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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