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Home Β» Predictions Β» Kenyan Premier League Β» Kariobangi Sharks x Gor Mahia Betting tips for March 5 in Kenya Premier League
Wednesday, 05 March 2025, 13h00 Kenya Premier League
Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks
PREDICTION No tip
Gor Mahia Gor Mahia
Don't miss this prediction!

Kariobangi Sharks x Gor Mahia Betting tips for March 5 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Kariobangi Sharks x Gor Mahia, Wednesday, 5/3/2025
πŸ“… 5/3/2025
13:00
Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks
3.28
X
3.22
Gor Mahia Gor Mahia
2.05

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Kariobangi Sharks x Gor Mahia:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Kariobangi Sharks x Gor Mahia

The main points for the tip for Kariobangi Sharks x Gor Mahia:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Kariobangi Sharks in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Gor Mahia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-333.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Kariobangi Sharks conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Kariobangi Sharks conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Gor Mahia.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Gor Mahia has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Kariobangi Sharks x Gor Mahia?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Kariobangi Sharks x Gor Mahia for the Kenya Premier League – 5 of March

🏟️ Kariobangi Sharks X Gor Mahia – Kenya Premier League
πŸ“… 5 of March, 2025 – 13:00
πŸ”΅ Kariobangi Sharks – Winning probability: 18.81% | Fair line: 5.32
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.17% | Fair line: 3.82
πŸ”΄ Gor Mahia – Winning probability: 55.02% | Fair line: 1.82
βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: +0.25 Kariobangi Sharks
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Kariobangi Sharks x Gor Mahia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1275402 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Kariobangi Sharks x Gor Mahia

Should you bet on Kariobangi Sharks?

πŸ”΅ Kariobangi Sharks: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $433.20;
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$376.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $577.20;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$162.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Gor Mahia?

πŸ”΄ Gor Mahia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 55.02%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 550 times – profiting $577.50;
  • And would have lost other 450 times – with a loss of -$450.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$127.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Kariobangi Sharks x Gor Mahia

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: +0.25 Kariobangi Sharks
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1Γ—2 market for Kariobangi Sharks x Gor Mahia

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Kariobangi Sharks and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Kariobangi Sharks.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1Γ—2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kariobangi Sharks x Gor Mahia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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