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Home » Predictions » Kariobangi Sharks x Nzoia Sugar Betting tips for April 21 in Kenya Premier League
Sunday, 21 April 2024, 10h00 Kenya Premier League
Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks
PREDICTION Kariobangi Sharks wins Probability 63% 1 X 2
Nzoia Sugar Nzoia Sugar
ODD: @1.75 Don't miss this prediction!

Kariobangi Sharks x Nzoia Sugar Betting tips for April 21 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Kariobangi Sharks x Nzoia Sugar, Sunday, 21/4/2024
📅 21/4/2024
10:00
Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks
1.75
X
3.20
Nzoia Sugar Nzoia Sugar
4.33

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Kariobangi Sharks x Nzoia Sugar:

🔮 Kariobangi Sharks wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Kariobangi Sharks, you can win up to $875.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Kariobangi Sharks x Nzoia Sugar:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Nzoia Sugar in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $50.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Nzoia Sugar conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Kariobangi Sharks conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Nzoia Sugar.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Kariobangi Sharks x Nzoia Sugar?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Kariobangi Sharks x Nzoia Sugar, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Kariobangi Sharks x Nzoia Sugar for the Kenya Premier League – 21 of April

🏟️ Kariobangi Sharks X Nzoia Sugar – Kenya Premier League
📅 21 of April, 2024 – 10:00
🔵 Kariobangi Sharks – Winning probability: 63.15% | Fair line: 1.58
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.73% | Fair line: 4.4
🔴 Nzoia Sugar – Winning probability: 14.11% | Fair line: 7.09
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Kariobangi Sharks
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Kariobangi Sharks x Nzoia Sugar right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1100583 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Kariobangi Sharks x Nzoia Sugar

Is betting on Kariobangi Sharks worth it?

🔵 Kariobangi Sharks: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 63.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 630 times – this would give you a profit of $472.50
  • And would lose other 370 times – having a loss of -$370.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$102.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $506.00;
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$264.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Nzoia Sugar?

🔴 Nzoia Sugar: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – profiting $466.20;
  • And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$393.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Kariobangi Sharks x Nzoia Sugar

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Kariobangi Sharks
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kariobangi Sharks x Nzoia Sugar

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Kariobangi Sharks and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Kariobangi Sharks.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Kariobangi Sharks.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kariobangi Sharks x Nzoia Sugar

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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