KCB x AFC Leopards Betting tips for February 26 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for KCB x AFC Leopards, Thursday, 26/2/2026

📅 26/2/2026 13:00

KCB 3.05

X 2.95

AFC Leopards 2.29

Our algorithm has selected this tip for KCB x AFC Leopards:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for KCB x AFC Leopards

Important information for your tip for KCB x AFC Leopards:

👉 If you had bet $100 on KCB in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AFC Leopards in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $258.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, KCB conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 9 road matches, AFC Leopards has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from KCB x AFC Leopards for the Kenya Premier League – 26 of February

Analysis of odds and handicap movement for KCB x AFC Leopards

It is always useful to analyse how the odds and the handicap behaved over time. This helps us understand where the betting market is heading and what punters expect for the match between KCB x AFC Leopards.

Below you will see a summary that compares the opening odds with the current odds in the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the Match Odds market for KCB x AFC Leopards

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for KCB x AFC Leopards right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1487572 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Is it a good idea to bet on KCB?

🔵 KCB: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $430.50;
• And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$359.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $663.00
• And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$3.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on AFC Leopards?

🔴 AFC Leopards: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.29. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $567.60;
• And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$7.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match KCB x AFC Leopards

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 KCB
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for KCB x AFC Leopards

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 KCB and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 KCB.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 AFC Leopards.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for KCB x AFC Leopards

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the tip for KCB x AFC Leopards