KCB x FC Talanta Betting tips for November 22 in Kenya Premier League
| 📅 22/11/2024 10:00 |
 KCB1.85 |
X 3.00 |
FC Talanta  4.45 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for KCB x FC Talanta:
🔮 KCB wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on KCB, you can win up to $925.00!
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The main points for the tip for KCB x FC Talanta: 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, KCB scored at least 1 goal(s). |
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Analysis from KCB x FC Talanta for the Kenya Premier League – 22 of November
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🏟️ KCB X FC Talanta – Kenya Premier League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for KCB x FC Talanta right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1225288 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for KCB x FC Talanta
Is betting on KCB worth it?
🔵 KCB: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 61.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 610 times – this would give you a profit of $518.50
- And would lose other 390 times – having a loss of -$390.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$128.50.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $460.00;
- And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$310.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on FC Talanta?
🔴 FC Talanta: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $552.00;
- And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$288.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match KCB x FC Talanta
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 KCB
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for KCB x FC Talanta
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 KCB, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 KCB.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for KCB x FC Talanta
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
