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Home » Predictions » Kenyan Premier League » KCB x Gor Mahia Betting tips for May 16 in Kenya Premier League
Thursday, 16 May 2024, 12h00 Kenya Premier League
KCB KCB
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 40% 1 X 2
Gor Mahia Gor Mahia
ODD: @2.9 Don't miss this prediction!

KCB x Gor Mahia Betting tips for May 16 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for KCB x Gor Mahia, Thursday, 16/5/2024
📅 16/5/2024
12:00
KCB KCB
3.30
X
2.90
Gor Mahia Gor Mahia
2.24

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for KCB x Gor Mahia:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1450.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for KCB x Gor Mahia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on KCB in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-71.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Gor Mahia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $55.0.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between KCB x Gor Mahia, with KCB as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Gor Mahia conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on KCB x Gor Mahia?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on KCB x Gor Mahia:

Analysis from KCB x Gor Mahia for the Kenya Premier League – 16 of May

🏟️ KCB X Gor Mahia – Kenya Premier League
📅 16 of May, 2024 – 12:00
🔵 KCB – Winning probability: 17.03% | Fair line: 5.87
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 40.59% | Fair line: 2.46
🔴 Gor Mahia – Winning probability: 42.38% | Fair line: 2.36
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 KCB
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for KCB x Gor Mahia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1119805 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for KCB x Gor Mahia

Is it a good idea to bet on KCB?

🔵 KCB: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $391.00;
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$439.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $779.00
  • And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$189.00.

Is it worth betting on Gor Mahia?

🔴 Gor Mahia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.24. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $520.80
  • And would lose other 580 times – having a loss of -$580.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$59.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match KCB x Gor Mahia

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 KCB
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for KCB x Gor Mahia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 KCB, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 KCB.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Gor Mahia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for KCB x Gor Mahia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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