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Home » Predictions » KCB x Kenya Police FC Betting tips for April 13 in Kenya Premier League
Saturday, 13 April 2024, 13h00 Kenya Premier League
KCB KCB
PREDICTION No tip
Kenya Police FC Kenya Police FC
Don't miss this prediction!

KCB x Kenya Police FC Betting tips for April 13 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for KCB x Kenya Police FC, Saturday, 13/4/2024
📅 13/4/2024
13:00
KCB KCB
2.60
X
2.89
Kenya Police FC Kenya Police FC
2.63

Our algorithm has selected this tip for KCB x Kenya Police FC:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for KCB x Kenya Police FC

The main points for the tip for KCB x Kenya Police FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on KCB in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-333.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Kenya Police FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $50.0.
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Kenya Police FC has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from KCB x Kenya Police FC for the Kenya Premier League – 13 of April

🏟️ KCB X Kenya Police FC – Kenya Premier League
📅 13 of April, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 KCB – Winning probability: 31.60% | Fair line: 3.16
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.20% | Fair line: 3.2
🔴 Kenya Police FC – Winning probability: 37.19% | Fair line: 2.69
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 KCB
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for KCB x Kenya Police FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1095332 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for KCB x Kenya Police FC

Is betting on KCB worth it?

🔵 KCB: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $512.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$168.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.89. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $585.90;
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$104.10.

Should you bet on Kenya Police FC?

🔴 Kenya Police FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.63. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $603.10;
  • And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$26.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match KCB x Kenya Police FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 KCB
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for KCB x Kenya Police FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 KCB and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 KCB.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for KCB x Kenya Police FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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