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Home » Predictions » Kenyan Premier League » Kenya Police FC x Sofapaka FC Betting tips for April 21 in Kenya Premier League
Sunday, 21 April 2024, 13h00 Kenya Premier League
Kenya Police FC Kenya Police FC
PREDICTION No tip
Sofapaka FC Sofapaka FC
Don't miss this prediction!

Kenya Police FC x Sofapaka FC Betting tips for April 21 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Kenya Police FC x Sofapaka FC, Sunday, 21/4/2024
📅 21/4/2024
13:00
Kenya Police FC Kenya Police FC
1.52
X
3.50
Sofapaka FC Sofapaka FC
6.08

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Kenya Police FC x Sofapaka FC:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Kenya Police FC x Sofapaka FC

Some important points for the tip for Kenya Police FC x Sofapaka FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Kenya Police FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $373.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sofapaka FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Kenya Police FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Sofapaka FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Sofapaka FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Sofapaka FC has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Kenya Police FC x Sofapaka FC?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Kenya Police FC x Sofapaka FC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Kenya Police FC x Sofapaka FC for the Kenya Premier League – 21 of April

🏟️ Kenya Police FC X Sofapaka FC – Kenya Premier League
📅 21 of April, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 Kenya Police FC – Winning probability: 66.60% | Fair line: 1.5
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.12% | Fair line: 4.52
🔴 Sofapaka FC – Winning probability: 11.28% | Fair line: 8.87
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Kenya Police FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Kenya Police FC and Sofapaka FC.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1100583 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Kenya Police FC x Sofapaka FC

Is it a good idea to bet on Kenya Police FC?

🔵 Kenya Police FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 66.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.52. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 670 times – this would give you a profit of $348.40
  • And would lose other 330 times – losing -$330.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$18.40. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $550.00
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$230.00.

Is it worth betting on Sofapaka FC?

🔴 Sofapaka FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.08. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – profiting $558.80;
  • And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$331.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Kenya Police FC x Sofapaka FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Kenya Police FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kenya Police FC x Sofapaka FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Kenya Police FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Kenya Police FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Kenya Police FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kenya Police FC x Sofapaka FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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