Mara Sugar FC x Posta Rangers Betting tips for October 23 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Mara Sugar FC x Posta Rangers, Wednesday, 23/10/2024

📅 23/10/2024 12:00

Mara Sugar FC 1.85

X 3.20

Posta Rangers 4.30

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Mara Sugar FC x Posta Rangers:

🔮 Mara Sugar FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mara Sugar FC, you can win up to $925.00!

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The main points for the tip for Mara Sugar FC x Posta Rangers: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mara Sugar FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $583.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Posta Rangers in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-140.0. 👉 Mara Sugar FC did not concede a goal in the last 5 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Mara Sugar FC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Posta Rangers matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Mara Sugar FC is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Posta Rangers has not lost any of them.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Mara Sugar FC x Posta Rangers?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Mara Sugar FC x Posta Rangers:

Analysis from Mara Sugar FC x Posta Rangers for the Kenya Premier League – 23 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Mara Sugar FC x Posta Rangers right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1207748 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Mara Sugar FC x Posta Rangers

Is betting on Mara Sugar FC worth it?

🔵 Mara Sugar FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 60.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 600 times – profiting $510.00;
• And would lose other 400 times – losing -$400.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$110.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $550.00;
• And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$200.00.

Is betting on Posta Rangers worth it?

🔴 Posta Rangers: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $495.00;
• And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$355.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Mara Sugar FC x Posta Rangers

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Mara Sugar FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mara Sugar FC x Posta Rangers

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Mara Sugar FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Mara Sugar FC.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mara Sugar FC x Posta Rangers

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.