Mara Sugar FC x Tusker Betting tips for April 6 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Mara Sugar FC x Tusker, Sunday, 6/4/2025

📅 6/4/2025 11:00

Mara Sugar FC 3.02

X 2.95

Tusker 2.25

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Mara Sugar FC x Tusker:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Mara Sugar FC x Tusker

The main points for the tip for Mara Sugar FC x Tusker: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mara Sugar FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-123.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Tusker in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-40.0. 👉 In the last 5 Tusker matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 road matches, Tusker has not lost any of them.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Mara Sugar FC x Tusker?

Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best betting sites in Kenya from 2025, you just have to click and bet:

Analysis from Mara Sugar FC x Tusker for the Kenya Premier League – 6 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Mara Sugar FC and Tusker.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1296560 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Mara Sugar FC x Tusker

Is it worth betting on Mara Sugar FC?

🔵 Mara Sugar FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.02. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 250 times – profiting $505.00;
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$245.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 330 times – profiting $643.50;
• And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$26.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on Tusker?

🔴 Tusker: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 420 times – having a profit of $525.00;
• And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$55.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Mara Sugar FC x Tusker

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Mara Sugar FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mara Sugar FC x Tusker

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Mara Sugar FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Mara Sugar FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Mara Sugar FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mara Sugar FC x Tusker

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.