Mara Sugar FC x Ulinzi Stars Betting tips for February 22 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Mara Sugar FC x Ulinzi Stars, Sunday, 22/2/2026

📅 22/2/2026 11:00

Mara Sugar FC 1.93

X 2.90

Ulinzi Stars 4.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Mara Sugar FC x Ulinzi Stars:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Mara Sugar FC x Ulinzi Stars

The main points for the tip for Mara Sugar FC x Ulinzi Stars:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Mara Sugar FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-265.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ulinzi Stars in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-160.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Ulinzi Stars conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Ulinzi Stars as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Mara Sugar FC x Ulinzi Stars?

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Analysis from Mara Sugar FC x Ulinzi Stars for the Kenya Premier League – 22 of February

Odds and handicap movements for Mara Sugar FC x Ulinzi Stars

Before confirming your prediction, it is worth taking a look at how the odds have moved since the market opened. When the market adjusts the price (even slightly) it is usually because money flowed in, new information emerged or the bookmakers recalibrated their risk.

Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the main markets for Mara Sugar FC x Ulinzi Stars (1X2, handicap and goals).

Tips for the 1×2 market for Mara Sugar FC x Ulinzi Stars

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Mara Sugar FC x Ulinzi Stars right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1484106 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Is it a good idea to bet on Mara Sugar FC?

🔵 Mara Sugar FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 55.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.93. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 550 times – having a profit of $511.50;
• And would have lost other 450 times – with a loss of -$450.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$61.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $532.00
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$188.00.

Should you bet on Ulinzi Stars?

🔴 Ulinzi Stars: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $510.00;
• And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$320.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Mara Sugar FC x Ulinzi Stars

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Mara Sugar FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mara Sugar FC x Ulinzi Stars

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Mara Sugar FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Mara Sugar FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Ulinzi Stars.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mara Sugar FC x Ulinzi Stars

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the tip for Mara Sugar FC x Ulinzi Stars